To be an oral-presentation at
European Geophysical Society XXVI, Nice 2001

Long term sea level change in Mediterranean Sea from multi-mission altimetry and tde gauges

Luciana Fenoglio1, 1

1Institute of Physical Geodesy; Tecnical University Darmstadt

The long term sea level variation and its coupling with sea surface temperature, wind speed and atmospheric pressure variations are investigated regionally in the Mediterranean Sea. Nine years, from 1991 to 2000, of altimetric sea level data from the ERS-1, ERS-2 and Topex/Poseidon missions are used after an adjustment and a consistency check of the multi-mission data. The results are compared with eight years, from 1992 to 2000, of the single-mission Topex/Poseidon data and with sea level heights from tide gauges to detect bias and drifts in the multi-mission altimetry system. The dominant characteristics of the variability of each field and the coupled variability between the fields are analysed. In the single-field study a parametric and a non parametric method for spectral estimation are used as well as the statistical method of principal component analysis. The short and medium parts of the spectra are eliminated and the long-term scales investigated. Positive sea level trends are found in most of the Mediterranean Sea with exception of the Ionian sea. The highest positive trends occurs in the eastern Mediterranean in correspondence to oceanographic features. In the coupled-field study both the linear regression analysis and the canonical correlation analysis show a hight correlation between the sea level height and the sea surface temperature both at medium and at long-term scales. %At long time scales %also the correlation between air pressure and sea level is significant. Reconstruction of sea level height using the first components of the spectral and of the statistical decompositions shows an agreement on the level of 2 cm locally. The extrapolated canonical correlation model derived using the sea surface as the predictor has an agreement of 3-4 cm. Based on the observed correlation between the sea level and the sea surface temperature, the sea level trends can be due to the steric effect. Other causes for the negative trends are analysed.
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